BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DS
DeVonta Smith
WR · PHI
This week
vs WAS · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
10.9 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Projected line
59 yds · 5 rec · 7 opp/g
Matchup · WAS
28.36th-softest vs WR · Green · smash
Season · per game
5 rec · 59 rec yds · 7 tgt · 71% catch · 8.4 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 26.0 · Total 46.5 · Edge 🔒
MW
Michael Wilson
WR · ARI
This week
vs LAC · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
10.9 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
59 yds · 5 rec · 7 opp/g
Matchup · LAC
22.621st-softest vs WR · Red · tough
Season · per game
5 rec · 59 rec yds · 7 tgt · 71% catch · 8.4 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 17.0 · Total 45.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start DeVonta Smith Slight lean
  • Softer matchup: 6th-easiest draw vs WRs.
  • Better game script: PHI implied for 26.0 vs ARI's 17.0.
FAQ
Should I start DeVonta Smith or Michael Wilson in Week 1?

Start DeVonta Smith over Michael Wilson in Week 1. DeVonta Smith projects for 10.9 PPR points to Michael Wilson's 10.9. Softer matchup: 6th-easiest draw vs WRs. Better game script: PHI implied for 26.0 vs ARI's 17.0.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.