BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DH
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL
This week
vs DAL · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
19.2 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
105 yds · 1.1 rec · 1.27 xTD · 56.2% anytime TD · 19.6 opp/g
Matchup · DAL
21.67th-softest vs RB · Green · smash
Season · per game
20 car · 106 rush yds · 5.3 YPC · 2 rec · 19 rec yds · 2 tgt · 100% catch · 9.5 yd/tgt · 7% tgt share · -2% air-yd
Market
Impl 27.0 · Total 48.5 · Edge 🔒
AJ
Ashton Jeanty
RB · LV
This week
vs NO · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
18.2 PPR pts · START (Lock)
Projected line
81 yds · 3.8 rec · 1.04 xTD · 49.3% anytime TD · 20.8 opp/g
Matchup · NO
19.218th-softest vs RB · Neutral
Season · per game
22 car · 75 rush yds · 3.4 YPC · 5 rec · 30 rec yds · 6.5 tgt · 77% catch · 4.6 yd/tgt · 22% tgt share · 4% air-yd
Market
Impl 19.8 · Total 42.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Derrick Henry Lean
  • Derrick Henry projects 1 more PPR points (19.2 vs 18.2).
  • Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs RBs.
  • Better game script: BAL implied for 27.0 vs LV's 19.8.
FAQ
Should I start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty in Week 3?

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 3. Derrick Henry projects for 19.2 PPR points to Ashton Jeanty's 18.2. Derrick Henry projects 1 more PPR points (19.2 vs 18.2). Softer matchup: 7th-easiest draw vs RBs. Better game script: BAL implied for 27.0 vs LV's 19.8.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.