BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
DJ
Daniel Jones
QB · IND
This week
vs BAL · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
11.4 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · BAL
16.312th-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
239 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.7% comp · 3 car · 13 rush yds · 4.3 YPC
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 49.5 · Edge 🔒
SD
Sam Darnold
QB · SEA
This week
vs NE · @home · 2026-09-09
Projection
11.0 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · NE
14.222nd-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
238 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 67.9% comp · 2 car · 6 rush yds · 3 YPC
Market
Impl 24.0 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Daniel Jones Slight lean
  • Daniel Jones projects 0.4 more PPR points (11.4 vs 11.0).
  • Softer matchup: 12th-easiest draw vs QBs.
FAQ
Should I start Daniel Jones or Sam Darnold in Week 1?

Start Daniel Jones over Sam Darnold in Week 1. Daniel Jones projects for 11.4 PPR points to Sam Darnold's 11.0. Daniel Jones projects 0.4 more PPR points (11.4 vs 11.0). Softer matchup: 12th-easiest draw vs QBs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.