BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
CW
Caleb Williams
QB · CHI
This week
vs CAR · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
15.2 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · CAR
13.226th-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
232 pass yds · 2 pTD · 57.6% comp · 5 car · 23 rush yds · 4.6 YPC · 1 rec yds
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
AR
Aaron Rodgers
QB · PIT
This week
vs ATL · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
14.9 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · ATL
14.718th-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
208 pass yds · 2 pTD · 64.5% comp · 1 car · 4 rush yds · 4 YPC · -1 rec yds
Market
Impl 22.8 · Total 42.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Caleb Williams Slight lean
  • Caleb Williams projects 0.3 more PPR points (15.2 vs 14.9).
  • Better game script: CHI implied for 23.5 vs PIT's 22.8.
FAQ
Should I start Caleb Williams or Aaron Rodgers in Week 1?

Start Caleb Williams over Aaron Rodgers in Week 1. Caleb Williams projects for 15.2 PPR points to Aaron Rodgers's 14.9. Caleb Williams projects 0.3 more PPR points (15.2 vs 14.9). Better game script: CHI implied for 23.5 vs PIT's 22.8.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.