BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
CO
Cade Otton
TE · TB
This week
vs CIN · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
4.7 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Projected line
4 rec · 0.11 xTD · 6% anytime TD · 5 opp/g
Matchup · CIN
18.01st-softest vs TE · Green · smash
Season · per game
4 rec · 38 rec yds · 5 tgt · 80% catch · 7.6 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
TW
Tyler Warren
TE · IND
This week
vs BAL · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
4.0 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
4 rec
Matchup · BAL
8.228th-softest vs TE · Red · tough
Season · per game
4 rec · 48 rec yds · 7 tgt · 57% catch · 6.9 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 49.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Cade Otton Slight lean
  • Cade Otton projects 0.7 more PPR points (4.7 vs 4.0).
  • Softer matchup: 1st-easiest draw vs TEs.
  • Better game script: TB implied for 23.5 vs IND's 23.0.
FAQ
Should I start Cade Otton or Tyler Warren in Week 1?

Start Cade Otton over Tyler Warren in Week 1. Cade Otton projects for 4.7 PPR points to Tyler Warren's 4.0. Cade Otton projects 0.7 more PPR points (4.7 vs 4.0). Softer matchup: 1st-easiest draw vs TEs. Better game script: TB implied for 23.5 vs IND's 23.0.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.