BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
BN
Bo Nix
QB · DEN
This week
vs LA · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.7 PPR pts · SIT (Lean sit)
Matchup · LA
14.321st-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
210 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.1% comp · 4 car · 4 rush yds · 1 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.3 · Total 45.6 · Edge 🔒
BM
Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
This week
vs MIN · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.6 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Matchup · MIN
10.432nd-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
199 pass yds · 0.5 pTD · 0.5 INT · 71% comp · 4.5 car · 29.5 rush yds · 6.6 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Bo Nix Slight lean
  • Bo Nix projects 0.1 more PPR points (12.7 vs 12.6).
FAQ
Should I start Bo Nix or Baker Mayfield in Week 3?

Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield in Week 3. Bo Nix projects for 12.7 PPR points to Baker Mayfield's 12.6. Bo Nix projects 0.1 more PPR points (12.7 vs 12.6).

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.