BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
BM
Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
This week
vs CIN · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
13.6 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Matchup · CIN
18.13rd-softest vs QB · Green · smash
Season · per game
217 pass yds · 2 pTD · 1 INT · 62.5% comp · 3 car · 22 rush yds · 7.3 YPC
Market
Impl 23.5 · Total 50.5 · Edge 🔒
LJ
Lamar Jackson
QB · BAL
This week
vs IND · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
13.4 PPR pts · START (Lean)
Matchup · IND
15.614th-softest vs QB · Neutral
Season · per game
196 pass yds · 2 pTD · 1 INT · 65.2% comp · 5 car · 27 rush yds · 5.4 YPC
Market
Impl 26.5 · Total 49.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Lamar Jackson Slight lean
  • Better game script: BAL implied for 26.5 vs TB's 23.5.
FAQ
Should I start Baker Mayfield or Lamar Jackson in Week 1?

Start Lamar Jackson over Baker Mayfield in Week 1. Lamar Jackson projects for 13.4 PPR points to Baker Mayfield's 13.6. Better game script: BAL implied for 26.5 vs TB's 23.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:22 PM ET.