BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
BM
Baker Mayfield
QB · TB
This week
vs MIN · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.6 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Matchup · MIN
10.432nd-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
199 pass yds · 0.5 pTD · 0.5 INT · 71% comp · 4.5 car · 29.5 rush yds · 6.6 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 23.0 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
DJ
Daniel Jones
QB · IND
This week
vs HOU · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
12.4 PPR pts · SIT (Bench)
Matchup · HOU
11.031st-softest vs QB · Red · tough
Season · per game
188 pass yds · 1 pTD · 1 INT · 66.1% comp · 2 car · 7 rush yds · 3.5 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 45.5 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Baker Mayfield Slight lean
  • Baker Mayfield projects 0.2 more PPR points (12.6 vs 12.4).
  • Better game script: TB implied for 23.0 vs IND's 21.5.
FAQ
Should I start Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones in Week 3?

Start Baker Mayfield over Daniel Jones in Week 3. Baker Mayfield projects for 12.6 PPR points to Daniel Jones's 12.4. Baker Mayfield projects 0.2 more PPR points (12.6 vs 12.4). Better game script: TB implied for 23.0 vs IND's 21.5.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.