BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 3 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
AJ
Aaron Jones
RB · MIN
This week
vs TB · @away · 2026-09-27
Projection
10.3 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
64 yds · 1.7 rec · 0.36 xTD · 21.1% anytime TD · 14.9 opp/g
Matchup · TB
20.411th-softest vs RB · Neutral
Season · per game
17.5 car · 72.5 rush yds · 4.1 YPC · 0.5 tgt · 0% catch · 0 yd/tgt · 2% tgt share · 1% air-yd
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
TJ
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB · NYG
This week
vs TEN · @home · 2026-09-27
Projection
10.1 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
61 yds · 2.1 rec · 0.31 xTD · 18.3% anytime TD · 13.3 opp/g
Matchup · TEN
20.013th-softest vs RB · Neutral
Season · per game
1 car · 7 rush yds · 7 YPC · 0% tgt share · 0% air-yd
Market
Impl 24.3 · Total 45.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Aaron Jones Slight lean
  • Aaron Jones projects 0.2 more PPR points (10.3 vs 10.1).
  • Softer matchup: 11th-easiest draw vs RBs.
FAQ
Should I start Aaron Jones or Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 3?

Start Aaron Jones over Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 3. Aaron Jones projects for 10.3 PPR points to Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s 10.1. Aaron Jones projects 0.2 more PPR points (10.3 vs 10.1). Softer matchup: 11th-easiest draw vs RBs.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 6:50 PM ET.