BetLogic AI · NFL

Who to Start

Week 1 · Matchup Edge

Who's the better start this week? Pick two players and we'll tell you who has the edge.

vs
AJ
Aaron Jones
RB · MIN
This week
vs GB · @home · 2026-09-13
Projection
6.3 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
63 yds · 14 opp/g
Matchup · GB
18.820th-softest vs RB · Neutral
Season · per game
11 car · 46 rush yds · 4.2 YPC · 2 rec · 17 rec yds · 3 tgt · 67% catch · 5.7 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 21.5 · Total 44.5 · Edge 🔒
AK
Alvin Kamara
RB · NO
This week
vs DET · @away · 2026-09-13
Projection
6.0 PPR pts · FLEX (Coin-flip)
Projected line
60 yds · 16 opp/g
Matchup · DET
18.023rd-softest vs RB · Red · tough
Season · per game
12 car · 43 rush yds · 3.6 YPC · 3 rec · 17 rec yds · 4 tgt · 75% catch · 4.3 yd/tgt
Market
Impl 20.8 · Total 48.6 · Edge 🔒
This week's edge
Start Aaron Jones Slight lean
  • Aaron Jones projects 0.3 more PPR points (6.3 vs 6.0).
  • Better game script: MIN implied for 21.5 vs NO's 20.8.
FAQ
Should I start Aaron Jones or Alvin Kamara in Week 1?

Start Aaron Jones over Alvin Kamara in Week 1. Aaron Jones projects for 6.3 PPR points to Alvin Kamara's 6.0. Aaron Jones projects 0.3 more PPR points (6.3 vs 6.0). Better game script: MIN implied for 21.5 vs NO's 20.8.

PPR projections with matchup (Strength of Schedule) and Vegas game context. Green ▲ marks the better number. Full rankings and the exact betting edge are in BetLogic Pro. Updated 5:38 PM ET.