Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 30, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 30

MLB Home Run Props
July 30, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 30 · 14 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 30, 2026 is Junior Caminero (TB) at a 23.7% model home run probability, facing Cole Winn (6.11 ERA) at Tropicana Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Junior Caminero
 23.7% Cole Winn RHP6.11 ERA Tropicana Field 9.1% 50.8% 93
2
Munetaka Murakami
 19% Ryan Weathers LHP4.25 ERA Rate Field 9.7% 59.6% 94.1
3
Esmerlyn Valdez
 16% Rhett Lowder RHP5.61 ERA Great American Ball Park 13.9% 54.7% 92.9
4
Max Muncy
 15.4% Bryan Woo RHP4.37 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 8.9% 44.1% 90.2
5
Bryan Reynolds
 15.2% Rhett Lowder RHP5.61 ERA Great American Ball Park 7% 47.2% 90.9
6
Austin Riley
 13.8% Jake Irvin RHP5.23 ERA Truist Park 6.5% 43.8% 90.7
7
Elly De La Cruz
 13.5% Yohan Ramírez RHP3.21 ERA Great American Ball Park 9.2% 53.1% 94.3
8
Andrés Chaparro
 13.3% Grant Holmes RHP3.79 ERA Truist Park 9% 52.7% 91
9
Mookie Betts
 12.5% Bryan Woo RHP4.37 ERA UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium 6.6% 39% 90.5
10
Heriberto Hernández
 12.5% Nolan McLean RHP3.32 ERA Citi Field 8.4% 51.4% 92.2
11
Kyle Stowers
 11.3% Nolan McLean RHP3.32 ERA Citi Field 6.8% 54.5% 91.8
12
Wyatt Langford
 9.7% Shane McClanahan LHP3.09 ERA Tropicana Field 6.3% 38% 89.4
13
Griffin Conine
 8.9% Nolan McLean RHP3.32 ERA Citi Field 8.7% 55.4% 90.6
14
Joe Mack
 7.5% Nolan McLean RHP3.32 ERA Citi Field 6.8% 40.6% 89.1

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 30, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 30, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 30, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 30, 2026 is Junior Caminero (TB) at a 23.7% model home run probability, facing Cole Winn (6.11 ERA) at Tropicana Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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