MLB Home Run Props
July 26, 2026
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 26, 2026 is Munetaka Murakami (CWS) at a 23.4% model home run probability, facing Ronel Blanco (7.71 ERA) at Rate Field.
| # | Hitter | P(HR) | Faces |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23.4% | Ronel Blanco RHP7.71 ERA | |
| 2 | 21.8% | Jeffrey Springs LHP5.96 ERA | |
| 3 | 21.7% | Connor Prielipp LHP5.00 ERA | |
| 4 | 20.8% | Janson Junk RHP5.09 ERA | |
| 5 | 19.9% | Walker Buehler RHP5.23 ERA | |
| 6 | 19.1% | Janson Junk RHP5.09 ERA | |
| 7 | 18.8% | Freddy Peralta RHP5.01 ERA | |
| 8 | 17.7% | Freddy Peralta RHP5.01 ERA | |
| 9 | 17.3% | Erick Fedde RHP4.16 ERA | |
| 10 | 14.8% | Emmet Sheehan RHP5.13 ERA | |
| 11 | 13.3% | Logan Gilbert RHP3.38 ERA | |
| 12 | 12.3% | Kohl Drake LHP1.80 ERA | |
| 13 | 12.2% | Luinder Avila RHP4.86 ERA | |
| 14 | 11.6% | Carson Whisenhunt LHP3.38 ERA | |
| 15 | 11.1% | Will Warren RHP4.00 ERA |
P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 26, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.
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How These Home Run Picks Are Built
BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.
Home Run Props FAQ · July 26, 2026
Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 26, 2026?
BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 26, 2026 is Munetaka Murakami (CWS) at a 23.4% model home run probability, facing Ronel Blanco (7.71 ERA) at Rate Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.
How does BetLogic rank home run props?
BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.
Are these MLB home run picks free?
Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.
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