Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 26, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 26

MLB Home Run Props
July 26, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 26 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 26, 2026 is Munetaka Murakami (CWS) at a 23.4% model home run probability, facing Ronel Blanco (7.71 ERA) at Rate Field.

#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Munetaka Murakami
23.4% Ronel Blanco RHP7.71 ERA Rate Field 9.3% 58.3% 93.9
2
Kody Clemens
21.8% Jeffrey Springs LHP5.96 ERA Target Field 8.6% 46.4% 92.7
3
Shea Langeliers
21.7% Connor Prielipp LHP5.00 ERA Target Field 10.1% 45.6% 91.8
4
Manny Machado
20.8% Janson Junk RHP5.09 ERA loanDepot park 7.3% 44.4% 90.5
5
Heriberto Hernández
19.9% Walker Buehler RHP5.23 ERA loanDepot park 8.9% 51.8% 92.5
6
Ty France
19.1% Janson Junk RHP5.09 ERA loanDepot park 8.3% 50.6% 92.5
7
Shohei Ohtani
18.8% Freddy Peralta RHP5.01 ERA Citi Field 10.3% 53.5% 93.5
8
Max Muncy
17.7% Freddy Peralta RHP5.01 ERA Citi Field 8.9% 43.9% 90.1
9
Yordan Alvarez
17.3% Erick Fedde RHP4.16 ERA Rate Field 12.6% 53.3% 94.6
10
Francisco Lindor
14.8% Emmet Sheehan RHP5.13 ERA Citi Field 6.5% 49% 92
11
Jake Burger
13.3% Logan Gilbert RHP3.38 ERA Globe Life Field 7% 46.2% 89.9
12
Andrés Chaparro
12.3% Kohl Drake LHP1.80 ERA Nationals Park 8.5% 50% 91
13
Riley Greene
12.2% Luinder Avila RHP4.86 ERA Comerica Park 9% 51.5% 91.6
14
Zach Neto
11.6% Carson Whisenhunt LHP3.38 ERA Oracle Park 7.3% 39.8% 89.5
15
Trea Turner
11.1% Will Warren RHP4.00 ERA Citizens Bank Park 4.7% 41.3% 88.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 26, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 26, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 26, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 26, 2026 is Munetaka Murakami (CWS) at a 23.4% model home run probability, facing Ronel Blanco (7.71 ERA) at Rate Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.