Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 25, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 25

MLB Home Run Props
July 25, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 25 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 25, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 22.5% model home run probability, facing Mason Barnett (4.64 ERA) at Target Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kody Clemens
 22.5% Mason Barnett RHP4.64 ERA Target Field 8.6% 46.4% 92.7
2
Manny Machado
 21.7% Eury Pérez RHP3.53 ERA loanDepot park 7.3% 44.3% 90.4
3
Yordan Alvarez
 20.2% Sean Burke RHP3.20 ERA Rate Field 12.8% 53.2% 94.6
4
Ty France
 19.6% Eury Pérez RHP3.53 ERA loanDepot park 8.4% 50% 92.4
5
Junior Caminero
 17.5% Tanner Bibee RHP3.86 ERA Tropicana Field 9.2% 51.5% 93.1
6
Heriberto Hernández
 16.8% JP Sears LHP4.38 ERA loanDepot park 8.7% 51.8% 92.5
7
Daylen Lile
 16.8% Mitch Bratt LHP5.06 ERA Nationals Park 6.1% 35.8% 88.2
8
Julio Rodríguez
 15.6% Nathan Eovaldi RHP4.21 ERA Globe Life Field 6.5% 44.6% 90.3
9
Shohei Ohtani
 13.7% Nolan McLean RHP3.34 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 53.6% 93.6
10
Riley Greene
 13.3% Michael Wacha RHP3.66 ERA Comerica Park 8.9% 51% 91.5
11
Trea Turner
 13.2% Ryan Weathers LHP4.40 ERA Citizens Bank Park 4.8% 41.2% 88.9
12
Willson Contreras
 13.2% Dylan Cease RHP2.67 ERA Fenway Park 9% 46.9% 90.8
13
Seiya Suzuki
 12.6% Paul Skenes RHP3.43 ERA PNC Park 6.2% 41.3% 89.2
14
Jake Burger
 12.6% Bryan Woo RHP4.16 ERA Globe Life Field 7% 46.5% 90
15
Jeremy Peña
 11.2% Sean Burke RHP3.20 ERA Rate Field 3.8% 39.8% 87.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 25, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 25, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 25, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 25, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 22.5% model home run probability, facing Mason Barnett (4.64 ERA) at Target Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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