Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 24, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 24

MLB Home Run Props
July 24, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 24 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 24, 2026 is Shea Langeliers (ATH) at a 26.1% model home run probability, facing Zebby Matthews (5.40 ERA) at Target Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Shea Langeliers
 26.1% Zebby Matthews RHP5.40 ERA Target Field 10.2% 45.3% 91.9
2
Tyler Soderstrom
 19.8% Zebby Matthews RHP5.40 ERA Target Field 7% 44.6% 90.2
3
Heriberto Hernández
 18.4% Germán Márquez RHP5.24 ERA loanDepot park 8.7% 51.8% 92.5
4
Willson Contreras
 18.3% Trey Yesavage RHP3.78 ERA Fenway Park 9% 46.9% 90.8
5
Riley Greene
 17.3% Beck Way RHP3.22 ERA Comerica Park 8.7% 50.6% 91.6
6
Junior Caminero
 16.6% Joey Cantillo LHP3.74 ERA Tropicana Field 9.3% 51.6% 93.2
7
Shohei Ohtani
 16.5% Sean Manaea LHP4.74 ERA Citi Field 10.4% 53.6% 93.6
8
Yordan Alvarez
 16% Davis Martin RHP3.31 ERA Rate Field 12.8% 53.2% 94.6
9
Julio Rodríguez
 15.6% MacKenzie Gore LHP4.80 ERA Globe Life Field 6.5% 44.6% 90.3
10
Kody Clemens
 15.4% Jacob Lopez LHP6.64 ERA Target Field 8.7% 45.7% 92.6
11
Francisco Lindor
 14.9% Roki Sasaki RHP4.98 ERA Citi Field 6.6% 49% 92
12
Jake Burger
 14.6% Bryce Miller RHP2.27 ERA Globe Life Field 7% 46.5% 90
13
Max Muncy
 13.5% Sean Manaea LHP4.74 ERA Citi Field 8.9% 43.9% 90.1
14
Seiya Suzuki
 11.6% Jared Jones RHP4.05 ERA PNC Park 6.2% 41.3% 89.2
15
Trea Turner
 11.3% Will Warren RHP4.00 ERA Citizens Bank Park 4.8% 41.2% 88.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 24, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 24, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 24, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 24, 2026 is Shea Langeliers (ATH) at a 26.1% model home run probability, facing Zebby Matthews (5.40 ERA) at Target Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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