Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 23, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 23

MLB Home Run Props
July 23, 2026

Data as of 05:03 ET, Jul 23 · 8 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 23, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 17.5% model home run probability, facing Gavin Williams (4.00 ERA) at Progressive Field.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kody Clemens
 17.5% Gavin Williams RHP4.00 ERA Progressive Field 8.8% 45.9% 92.7
2
Carter Jensen
 14.4% Troy Melton RHP1.80 ERA Comerica Park 6% 43.5% 90.8
3
Manny Machado
 14% Chris Sale LHP2.06 ERA Truist Park 7.5% 44.2% 90.4
4
Riley Greene
 13.3% Randy Dobnak RHP1.93 ERA Comerica Park 8.6% 50.6% 91.6
5
Travis Bazzana
 11% Taj Bradley RHP3.85 ERA Progressive Field 3.3% 36.4% 88.3
6
Ty France
 10.9% Chris Sale LHP2.06 ERA Truist Park 8.3% 49.7% 92.2
7
Jackson Merrill
 7.9% Chris Sale LHP2.06 ERA Truist Park 6.7% 45.4% 89.6
8
Lane Thomas
 5.4% Troy Melton RHP1.80 ERA Comerica Park 4.5% 43% 89.7

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 23, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 23, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 23, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 23, 2026 is Kody Clemens (MIN) at a 17.5% model home run probability, facing Gavin Williams (4.00 ERA) at Progressive Field. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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