Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 20, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 20

MLB Home Run Props
July 20, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 20 · 15 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 20, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 26.9% model home run probability, facing Emmet Sheehan (4.81 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park.

See Today's Live Board → Jump to All 15 Picks
#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Kyle Schwarber
 26.9% Emmet Sheehan RHP4.81 ERA Citizens Bank Park 9.7% 53.1% 93.5
2
Ben Rice
 22.1% Braxton Ashcraft RHP3.49 ERA Yankee Stadium 9.9% 47.6% 92.2
3
Yordan Alvarez
 20.7% Janson Junk RHP4.57 ERA Daikin Park 12.3% 53.1% 94.6
4
Michael Harris II
 19.8% JP Sears LHP5.03 ERA Truist Park 9.6% 51.1% 91.8
5
Kody Clemens
 19.6% Tanner Bibee RHP3.90 ERA Progressive Field 9.1% 46.6% 92.8
6
Miguel Vargas
 18.7% Jacob deGrom RHP3.49 ERA Globe Life Field 10.3% 47% 90.5
7
Alec Burleson
 16.9% José Soriano RHP3.49 ERA Angel Stadium 8.6% 48.5% 91.7
8
Ty France
 15.3% Bryce Elder RHP4.12 ERA Truist Park 7.6% 48.8% 91.9
9
Wilyer Abreu
 12.7% Shane Baz RHP4.19 ERA Fenway Park 9.2% 42.3% 90.2
10
Junior Caminero
 12.6% Dylan Cease RHP2.56 ERA Rogers Centre 9.2% 51.9% 93.3
11
Chase DeLauter
 10.4% Joe Ryan RHP2.85 ERA Progressive Field 5.3% 45% 90.9
12
Tim Tawa
 9.2% Jeffrey Springs LHP6.08 ERA Chase Field 3.7% 37% 87.9
13
Daulton Varsho
 9.1% Nick Martinez RHP2.65 ERA Rogers Centre 4.8% 39.3% 86.2
14
Lane Thomas
 6.3% Trevor McDonald RHP5.02 ERA Kauffman Stadium 4.7% 42.8% 89.6
15
Brett Baty
 4.8% Jacob Misiorowski RHP1.62 ERA American Family Field 5.4% 39.7% 89.6

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 20, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 20, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 20, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 20, 2026 is Kyle Schwarber (PHI) at a 26.9% model home run probability, facing Emmet Sheehan (4.81 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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