Home/MLB Home Run Props/July 19, 2026
MLB · Power Edge Report · Jul 19

MLB Home Run Props
July 19, 2026

Data as of 05:04 ET, Jul 19 · 14 ranked targets

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 19, 2026 is Juan Soto (NYM) at a 19.2% model home run probability, facing Alan Rangel (4.19 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park.

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#HitterP(HR)Faces ParkBarrel%HardHit%Exit Velo
1
Juan Soto
 19.2% Alan Rangel RHP4.19 ERA Citizens Bank Park 10.4% 48.7% 92.6
2
Ben Rice
 19% Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHP2.85 ERA Yankee Stadium 9.9% 47.6% 92.2
3
Spencer Steer
 18.9% Ryan Feltner RHP4.55 ERA Coors Field 8.3% 39.4% 89.8
4
Junior Caminero
 17.2% Sonny Gray RHP2.54 ERA Fenway Park 9.3% 51.6% 93.2
5
Samuel Basallo
 16.5% Hunter Brown RHP3.57 ERA Daikin Park 8.5% 45.8% 91.4
6
Corbin Carroll
 15.6% Andre Pallante RHP3.96 ERA Chase Field 7.5% 46.5% 91.4
7
Miguel Vargas
 15% Trey Yesavage RHP3.72 ERA Rogers Centre 10.4% 47% 90.6
8
Bryce Eldridge
 14% Logan Gilbert RHP3.32 ERA T-Mobile Park 8.1% 54.7% 92.4
9
Wilyer Abreu
 13.3% Shane McClanahan LHP2.83 ERA Fenway Park 8.8% 42% 90.1
10
Alec Burleson
 13.1% Eduardo Rodriguez LHP2.29 ERA Chase Field 8.7% 48.9% 91.7
11
Ty France
 12.9% Noah Cameron LHP4.89 ERA Kauffman Stadium 7.7% 47.8% 91.7
12
Griffin Conine
 12% Robert Gasser LHP5.24 ERA American Family Field 8.6% 51.9% 89.5
13
Lane Thomas
 10% Germán Márquez RHP5.18 ERA Kauffman Stadium 4.4% 42% 89.5
14
Chase DeLauter
 9% Paul Skenes RHP3.57 ERA Progressive Field 5.1% 44.3% 90.9

P(HR) is BetLogic's model home run probability for July 19, 2026, blending recent power and barrel rate against the opposing starter's HR vulnerability and ballpark factor. Live sportsbook odds load on the live board.

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How These Home Run Picks Are Built

BetLogic's HR model ranks every hitter on today's slate by a single home run probability. It weighs each batter's recent slugging and barrel rate against the opposing starter's home run rate by handedness, then adjusts for the ballpark's HR factor. Every page is frozen with that day's data so you can check back and see exactly what the model called.

Home Run Props FAQ · July 19, 2026

Who is the best MLB home run pick today, July 19, 2026?

BetLogic's top MLB home run prop target for July 19, 2026 is Juan Soto (NYM) at a 19.2% model home run probability, facing Alan Rangel (4.19 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park. The full ranked board updates daily, free, at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet.

How does BetLogic rank home run props?

BetLogic ranks each hitter by a model home run probability that weighs recent power output and barrel rate against the opposing pitcher's home run vulnerability by handedness and the ballpark's HR factor.

Are these MLB home run picks free?

Yes. BetLogic's HR board is free to view. The live board is at betlogic.ai/mlb/hr-sheet and a fresh dated page is published every day.

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